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April 4, 2025

Institute for the Study of War: Visiting Russian envoy says some security guarantees possible for Ukraine

Institute for the Study of War

CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) Kirill Dmitriev gave several interviews with American news outlets on April 3 and presented views that contradict the current Kremlin line on Ukraine. The Kremlin remains unwilling to commit to a general ceasefire in Ukraine, continuing to reject the ground ceasefire that US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky have offered. Dmitriev spoke with Fox News and Newsmax while visiting Washington, DC, and attempted to paint Russia as an attractive market for American investment, claiming that the Russian economy is strong and growing despite Western sanctions. Dmitriev also claimed that Russia is ready to collaborate with the United States on unspecified projects involving the Arctic, rare earth minerals, and liquified natural gas (LNG). Dmitriev has recently been at the forefront of Kremlin efforts to undermine the proposed US-Ukraine mineral deal by promoting potential US-Russia mining projects and other avenues of economic and financial cooperation, as ISW previously reported. Dmitriev notably claimed that Russia “is not asking for lifting of sanctions” and “not making any preconditions for specific sanction relief” in response to a question about whether Russia considers sanctions relief a necessary precondition to a ceasefire agreement. The Kremlin, in contrast, has explicitly demanded sanctions relief from the United States as a precondition for entering into a Black Sea strikes ceasefire.

Dmitriev made several other statements that diverge from recent statements by other Kremlin officials, for example, saying that “some security guarantees may be possible” for Ukraine. ISW recently assessed that Russian President Vladimir Putin will not accept Western-backed security guarantees for Ukraine because their acceptance will represent a major concession, and the Kremlin has rejected the idea of making any concessions on its maximalist territorial and security demands from Ukraine. Dmitriev’s attempt to present Russia’s interests in Ukraine as predominantly economic and financial is also disingenuous. Kremlin officials frequently make demands to address the “root causes” of the war in Ukraine (NATO’s alleged violation of obligations not to expand eastward and Ukraine’s alleged violations of the rights of Russian-speaking minorities in Ukraine) as preconditions for any sort of peace agreement. The Kremlin’s negotiating position has not changed despite Dmitriev’s attempts to soften and deflect from Moscow’s demands, and Dmitriev is attempting to use the promise of financial benefits to distract from the Kremlin’s continued intransigence in negotiations about Ukraine.

Key Takeaways:

  • CEO of the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF) Kirill Dmitriev gave several interviews with American news outlets on April 3 and presented views that contradict the current Kremlin line on Ukraine.
  • The Kremlin remains unwilling to commit to a general ceasefire in Ukraine, continuing to reject the ground ceasefire that US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky have offered.
  • US Secretary of State Marco Rubio stated on April 4 that the US is closely monitoring Russia’s actions in Ukraine and hopes that Russia is “serious” about resolving the war rather than simply dragging out negotiations.
  • A Russian ballistic missile struck a residential area in Kryvyi Rih, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast on April 4, killing at least 16 people, including children.
  • Russia continues to employ strike packages predominantly comprised of drones amid reports that it is growing its missile stockpile.
  • Ukrainian railway operator Ukrzaliznytsia signed two contracts with Chinese rail producers in January 2025 as part of efforts to support the development and repair of Ukrainian rail infrastructure.
  • Russia is reinforcing its strategic ties with the Alliance of Sahel States (AES) juntas in a concerted effort to enhance Russian influence in Africa.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk. Russian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk, Toretsk, and Pokrovsk.
  • The Russian military reportedly continues to expand its conventional force end-strength.
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Wilson Center

Forced displacement represents one of the most pressing humanitarian issues of our time. Individuals and families, torn from the fabric of their communities, find themselves navigating a world of uncertainty, often without basic necessities or a clear path to safety. There are currently some 110 million forced displaced, and this number is growing by 10 million each year!

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